BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

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Morehead St

Class: 1B Class Rank: 119 Overall: (4-7) Overall Strength =   84.54
Conference: Pioneer Football League Record: (3-5) | District: 1B-01 Record: (3-7)

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 08/31/2023 Home    W    79.33  37  35    2 104 (  4-  6) West Virginia St       -5.21      7.21                      
  2 09/09/2023 Away    L    84.48  22  48   1B  51 (  9-  4) Mercer                 -0.06    -25.94                      
  3 09/23/2023 Away    L *  88.73  28  35   1B  93 (  8-  3) St Thomas MN            4.19    -11.19                      
  4 09/30/2023 Home    L *  80.70   9  16   1B 108 (  8-  4) Drake                  -3.83     -3.17                      
  5 10/07/2023 Home    W * 105.91  31   7   1B 120 (  4-  7) Dayton                 21.37      2.63                      
  6 10/14/2023 Away    W *  86.77  24  21   1B 121 (  3-  8) Valparaiso              2.23      0.77                      
  7 10/21/2023 Away    L    75.12   0  42   1B  30 (  8-  3) Tarleton St            -9.42 *  -32.58                      
  8 10/28/2023 Away    L *  81.44  11  17   1B 115 (  4-  7) San Diego              -3.10     -2.90                      
  9 11/04/2023 Home    L *  51.47   7  49   1B  85 (  7-  4) Butler                -33.07     -8.93                      
 10 11/11/2023 Home    W * 117.10  47  17   1B 110 (  7-  4) Davidson               32.57     -2.57                      
 11 11/18/2023 Away    L *  78.86  27  31   1B 122 (  4-  7) Presbyterian           -5.68      1.68                      
      Averages              84.54  22.1 28.9

Best game:  117.10 = 30 point win over Davidson
Worst game:  51.47 = 42 point loss to Butler
Team stdev:  16.75